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HOPIUM
An AI that admits when it's wrong.
model v3-12h-logreg-20261104
BTC......ETH......SOL......connecting to tape

Coverage ledger

data: live database, read-only

The schedule (sched-v1) expects one prediction per coin (BTC, ETH, SOL) at every UTC hour close, starting at the first live reference close (). Every expected slot is listed with what happened to it. Missing slots are never backfilled. Coverage says whether the machine showed up, not whether it was right. No planned maintenance has been declared.

expected slots (settled)
768
published
696
coverage
90.6%
insert latency (median / max)
1.8 / 4.7 min
published, graded11
published, outcome pending6
NO CALL, graded (sat out)649
NO CALL, pending30
skipped: job started too late9
failed3
missing: no job ran (scheduler gap)60
in progress (inside the 20 min window)0

Latency = database insert time minus reference close (database clock). Late starts are skipped by rule late-v1, then logged.

Missing intervals and incidents

fromtoslotsstatereason
3failedHTTPError('503 Server Error: Service Unavailable for url: https://www.deribit.com/api/v2/public/get_funding_rate_history?instrument_name=BTC-PERPETUAL&start_tim
24missing: no job ran (scheduler gap)no predict job logged for this hour
3skipped: job started too latestarted 45.3 min after candle close; skipped, never backfilled
15missing: no job ran (scheduler gap)no predict job logged for this hour
3skipped: job started too latestarted 23.4 min after candle close; skipped, never backfilled
15missing: no job ran (scheduler gap)no predict job logged for this hour
3skipped: job started too latestarted 50.2 min after candle close; skipped, never backfilled
6missing: no job ran (scheduler gap)no predict job logged for this hour

Known incident: from 16:02 UTC on 2026-11-04 the self-dispatching scheduler chain died and GitHub's own cron fired only a few times, late, so roughly 20 hours had no job or a skipped late job. Root cause and fix are in REVIEW.md. Those slots stay missing.

Last 72 hours, slot by slot

SOLpublished, outcome pending#1188
ETHNO CALL, pending#1187
BTCNO CALL, pending#1186
SOLNO CALL, pending#1182
ETHpublished, outcome pending#1181
BTCNO CALL, pending#1180
SOLNO CALL, pending#1176
ETHpublished, outcome pending#1175
BTCNO CALL, pending#1174
SOLNO CALL, pending#1170
ETHpublished, outcome pending#1169
BTCNO CALL, pending#1168
SOLNO CALL, pending#1164
ETHNO CALL, pending#1163
BTCNO CALL, pending#1162
SOLpublished, outcome pending#1158
ETHpublished, outcome pending#1157
BTCNO CALL, pending#1156
SOLNO CALL, pending#1152
ETHNO CALL, pending#1151
BTCNO CALL, pending#1150
SOLNO CALL, pending#1146
ETHNO CALL, pending#1145
BTCNO CALL, pending#1144
SOLNO CALL, pending#1140
ETHNO CALL, pending#1139
BTCNO CALL, pending#1138
SOLNO CALL, pending#1134
ETHNO CALL, pending#1133
BTCNO CALL, pending#1132
SOLNO CALL, pending#1128
ETHNO CALL, pending#1127
BTCNO CALL, pending#1126
SOLNO CALL, pending#1122
ETHNO CALL, pending#1121
BTCNO CALL, pending#1120
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1116
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1115
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1114
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1110
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1109
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1108
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1104
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1103
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1102
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1098
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1097
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1096
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1092
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1091
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1090
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1086
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1085
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1084
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1080
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1079
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1078
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1074
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1073
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1072
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1068
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1067
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1066
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1062
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1061
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1060
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1056
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1055
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1054
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1050
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1049
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1048
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1044
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1043
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1042
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1038
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1037
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1036
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1032
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1031
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1030
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1026
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1025
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1024
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1020
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1019
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1018
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1011
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1010
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1009
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1005
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1004
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#1003
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#999
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#998
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#997
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#993
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#992
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#991
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#987
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#986
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#985
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#981
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#980
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#979
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#975
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#974
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#973
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#966
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#965
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#964
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#960
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#959
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#958
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#954
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#953
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#952
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#948
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#947
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#946
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#942
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#941
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#940
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#936
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#935
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#934
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#930
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#929
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#928
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#924
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#923
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#922
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#918
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#917
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#916
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#912
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#911
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#910
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#906
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#905
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#904
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#900
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#899
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#898
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#894
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#893
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#892
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#888
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#887
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#886
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#882
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#881
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#880
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#876
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#875
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#874
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#870
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#869
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#868
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#864
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#863
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#862
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#858
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#857
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#856
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#852
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#851
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#850
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#846
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#845
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#844
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#840
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#839
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#838
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#834
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#833
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#832
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#828
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#827
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#826
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#822
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#821
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#820
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#816
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#815
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#814
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#810
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#809
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#808
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#804
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#803
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#802
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#798
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#797
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#796
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#792
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#791
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#790
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#786
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#785
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#784
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#780
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#779
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#778
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#774
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#773
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#772
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#768
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#767
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#766
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#762
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#761
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#760
SOLNO CALL, graded (sat out)#756
ETHNO CALL, graded (sat out)#755
BTCNO CALL, graded (sat out)#754