Disclaimer

last updated 4 November 2026

Not financial advice. Crypto is unregulated and can be highly risky. Predictions are probabilistic and often wrong.

Forecasts, not advice

HOPIUM publishes the output of a statistical model. A forecast is a guess with a number attached, and the model is wrong often. Nothing here tells you to buy, sell or hold anything, and nothing here is tailored to you.

What our own testing says

The current model is labelled "Does not beat trading fees in testing." In a walk-forward test it returned 91.0% after fees over 988 simulated trades, with a maximum drawdown of 23.1%. On six months of data it had never seen, it made 0 trades. Simulated results ignore slippage, funding costs, taxes and the fact that you would have needed to act within minutes, every time.

Short calls

A DOWN call is graded as if you had sold short. Shorting needs a derivatives or margin account, carries extra costs and can lose more than you put in. Spot-only traders can only act on UP calls.

Crypto risk

Crypto-assets are highly volatile and are unregulated or lightly regulated in many places, including India, where profits are taxed and losses get little protection. Exchanges can fail, freeze withdrawals or be hacked. Only risk money you can afford to lose completely.

No relationship with exchanges

We are not affiliated with any exchange or data provider, we earn nothing from your trading, and we do not link to exchanges.